美联储1月维持利率不变的概率为85.1%"/> <meta property="og:contentid" content="comos:nhewkev3848771"/> <meta property="og:url" content="https://finance.sina.cn/2026-01-02/detail-inhewkev3848771.d.html"/> <meta property="og:time" content="2026-01-02 07:30:29"/> <meta property="og:published_time" content="2026-01-02 07:30:29"/> <meta property="og:updated_time" content="2026-01-02 07:30:29"/> <meta property="og:author" content="界面新闻"/> <meta property="og:site_name" content="手机新浪网"/> <meta property="og:locale" content="zh_CN"/> <meta property="article:modified_time" content="2026-01-02 07:30:29"/> <meta property="article:published_time" content="2026-01-02 07:30:29"/> <meta property="og:description" content="据CME“美联储观察”：美联储1月降息25个基点的概率为14.9%，维持利率不变的概率为85.1%。到3月累计降息25个基点的概率为51.2%，维持利率不变的概率为42.8%，累计降息50个基点的概率为5.9%。"/> <meta property="og:image" content="//n.sinaimg.cn/default/2fb77759/20151125/320X320.png"/> <meta property="og:category" content="财经"/> <meta property="article:section" content="财经"/> <meta property="article_tags" content="财经行业动态"/> <meta property="article_tags" content="美联储"/> <meta property="article_tags" content="利率"/> <meta property="article_tags" content="降息"/> <meta property="article_tags" content="CME"/>  <link rel="canonical" href="https://finance.sina.cn/2026-01-02/detail-inhewkev3848771.d.html?vt=4"/><meta name="publishid" content="nhewkev3848771, 美联储, 利率, 概率, 基点, 降息